Editorial/Don’t let the deniers fool you. Fighting climate change isn’t futile. – Washington Post, 10.26.17

Don’t let the deniers fool you. Fighting climate change isn’t futile.


President Trump speaks about the U.S. role in the Paris climate change accord in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington earlier this year. (Pablo Martinez Monsivais/Associated Press)

It’s one of the most frequent justifications for abandoning President Barack Obama’s plans to address climate change: Federal policy, critics claim, would “reduce global temperature by only 1/100th of a degree Celsius,” “have no effect on man-made CO2 emissions” or, as one headline blared, “trade your job for 0.01 degrees.” This criticism seems more rigorous than simply denying that the world is warming. Advocates for acting on climate change cannot object to the argument that the U.S. effort, taken alone, would fail to solve a global problem.

But we can object to how the critics manipulatively use this point. A studypublished Thursday in Environmental Research Letters shows why.

The Post’s Chris Mooney reports that “climate change could lead to sea level rises that are larger, and happen more rapidly, than previously thought,” citing a trove of new research on how polar ice melts and collapses. According to one paper, “in one scenario assuming high fossil fuel use and strong economic growth during the century, the study predicted that seas could rise by as much as 4.33 feet on average — with a high end possibility of as much as 6.2 feet — by 2100. That includes possibly rapid sea level rise as high as 19 millimeters per year by the end of the century. These numbers are considerably higher than high end projections released in 2013 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.”

But, Mooney explains, “if the world limits global warming to the Paris climate agreement emissions target, the study finds that sea level rise might be held as low as 1.7 feet by 2100, on average.” This result would not be guaranteed; governments would have to keep cutting emissions after hitting their 2030 Paris targets. But the study nevertheless finds that meeting the agreement’s medium-term goals, which Obama’s climate policies were designed to do, would keep a path open to averting truly disastrous sea level rise.

In other words, the practical climate benefits of U.S. global warming policy are real — this is just one of many examples — but mostly visible when combined with other nations’ work. Europe has done much more than the United States to cut emissions, but if other countries did not join in, the effort would amount to relatively little. If, on the other hand, major countries such as the United States and China cooperate, the seas would not rise as much. “Obama-era clean energy policies would help restrain sea level rise, possibly by several feet” sounds much less futile, but it is just as correct as saying that these policies could not single-handedly stop the planet from warming.

Pointing out that the United States acting alone could not solve global warming, meanwhile, is no great insight. The critics merely restate the problem that global accords such as the Paris agreement were designed to address: The planet’s major nations must work together or fry separately. China and Europe, each of which seems far more serious about addressing climate change than the Untied States at the moment, harbor the same fears Americans do that they will cut emissions while other nations do nothing.

As the world’s second-largest CO2 emitter and the largest historical emitter, the United States bears a particular responsibility to lead, or, at least, actively participate, in this effort. Instead, President Trump trashed the Paris agreement, along with the policies meant to get the United States to the Paris emissions target to which Obama had committed. Trump’s behavior has become one of the greatest threats to global accord, making it more likely that whatever the United States continues to do to cut emissions will not be met with similar levels of ambition abroad.

The conclusion the critics want listeners to draw is that cutting carbon dioxide emissions is expensive and futile. The implication is that humanity must simply endure the consequences of a changing climate, because the problem is too hard to solve. By encouraging suspicion and undercutting global agreements, worsening the great global collective action problem that is climate change, they may make their criticisms self-fulfilling.

By |2017-10-31T13:49:32-06:00October 31st, 2017|News|0 Comments

Share This Story, Choose Your Platform!

About the Author:

We have an amazing group of concerned, dedicated activist citizens in this State. There are so many people and groups trying to make a difference in regard to our environment. But it isn't always easy to find out about all of the events happening or keep track of the efforts that New Mexicans are making to address global warming. So I created this website in order to have a single place to go for information, if you want to get involved in climate related activities. I believe that if we work together we have the numbers that can create a greater impact and more influence, which ultimately will help us achieve our multiple environmental goals.

Leave A Comment

Go to Top